iPhone 5 Sales Viewed as Disappointing, Short Supplies and Pre-Orders Blamed
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Posted September 24, 2012 at 4:53pm by iClarified
Opening weekend sales for the iPhone 5 came in well below analyst expectations.
Today, Apple announced that it sold five million iPhone 5s in the three days following its launch. This is far below analyst expectations of 6-10 million.
Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster previously said that 6 million would be worse case scenario considering the device is a major update. The iPhone 4S sold 4 million in its opening weekend.
We believe there are two factors that negatively impacted the number. First, our sales expectation assumed that Apple would include all phones pre-ordered online. We believe that this may have been up to 1 million additional units as units pre-ordered after the middle of the first day were projected to be available in October. Second, we noted 1.25 days of Apple Retail inventory compared to 2.5 days during the 4S launch. Our 8 million estimate assumed full weekend availability and the counting of all online pre-orders. We believe that if supply were not a constraint and Apple included all pre-orders, the launch weekend number would have been closer to 7-8 million, assuming ~1 million October pre-order sales and an additional 1-2 million units at retail.
Topeka Capital analyst Brian White said, "We believe this shortfall is largely due to supply availability and the fact that most consumers are opting for the pre-order option."
ISI Group analyst Brian Marshall said, "The 5mil+ iPhone 5 reported sales only takes into consideration: 1) what was sold into partners (e.g., retail outlets, carriers, etc.), 2) sold in AAPL retail stores, and 3) direct to customers only if they signed for the device. Importantly, this doesn't take into consideration units in delivery direct to customers (i.e., AAPL must have signature of acceptance by customer before it is counted as a sale) and we estimate units in transit could be in the millions currently."
BusinessInsider has created some charts to help visualize the number in comparison to the iPhone 3GS, iPhone 4, and iPhone 4S launch.
Really disappointed to the aspects of supply and the marketing. They treat iPhone 5 as a diamond and everyone wants to have it because of its demand but the supply is far more stopping the people to buy.
its because their radio is versitile but not versitile enough... especially becuase it dosent support tmobile's network.... many tmobile users love the iphone such as myself and is very dissapointing to be able to have the most recent apple technology we would have to sacrifice using the 4g telecom technology to do so...
Also, a lot of people can't upgrade to the iPhone 5, since they just got into a contract extension with their cellular carrier, last October with the 4S. A lot who upgraded last year in hopes of getting the iPhone 5, aren't eligible for early upgrade pricing discount, and don't want to shell out the tons of cash to get an iPhone 5.
I'm always happy with "expected sales" are low. I'm sure it will out sell the 4s but the idea of creating an "expectation" then being disappointed about it is fabulous. The world does not cater to predictions and expectations, charts/graphs. 5 million units is still a great result. Be happy!
People love to create unrealistic expectations, then happily announce "disappointing" sales. It's a way to give talking heads something to rattle on about, but it doesn't actually affect ANYONE.